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Housing finance beats forecasts in November

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By a staff reporter, with AAP

The demand for home loans rose slightly more than expected in November, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

The data showed the number of home loans granted in November rose a seasonally adjusted 1.1 per cent to 52,912.

Bloomberg had expected the number of housing finance commitments to lift by one per cent in the month.

Total housing finance by value rose 1.7 per cent in November, seasonally adjusted, to $26.934 billion.

The rise in home loan approvals means there won't be another interest rate cut, an economist says.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia chief economist Michael Blythe says it means the Reserve Bank of Australia won't cut the cash rate again during this cycle.

"We think they're done because those interest rate sensitive parts like housing, as we've seen today, are moving," he said.

"You don't need any more help from that perspective and the sectors that do still need help would benefit more from a lower currency."

Mr Blythe said interest rates were likely to rise, from a record low of 2.5 per cent, in late 2014 as a weakening Australian dollar added to inflationary pressures.

National Australia Bank senior economist Spiros Papadopoulos said that although the housing market was strengthening, it would not be enough to rebalance the economy as the mining investment boom winds down.

Unemployment would continue to rise, meaning the Reserve Bank of Australia would be unlikely to raise the cash rate this year, he said.

"This is another indicator that points to the strength in the housing market, alongside rising house prices the upward trend in building approvals that we've seen in recent times," Mr Papadopoulos said.

"We think there's still going to be a hole left in the investment outlook and although the housing and construction part of the equation will be supporting growth, the other non-mining sectors will still be quite soft and not strong enough to offset the mining slowdown.

"We don't think it's going to be enough overall, which is why we think the unemployment rate is going to head higher and why the RBA won't be in a position to raise rates this year."

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Australian Bureau of Statistics data shows number of home loans granted in month rose slightly more than expected.
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