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UBS, Grocon to pursue $10bn JV

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A new joint venture deal will see the formation of a $10 billion property platform, according to The Australian Financial Review.

The five-year agreement between investment bank UBS and the nation’s largest private developer, Grocon, will result in the group receiving first right of refusal for developing Grocon’s existing pipeline of projects.

According to the report, the JV will be chaired by John Fraser, the outgoing chief executive and chairman of UBS Global Asset Management, with Grocon boss Daniel Grollo to take a non-executive role on the board of directors.

“I’m very confident there will be immediate demand for this, not only in Australia, but also outside, particularly in the Middle East, with the sovereign wealth funds,” Mr Fraser told the AFR.

Speculation around a UBS, Grocon tie-up emerged in August when UBS was touted as a possible buyer of Grocon’s Ribbon building in Sydney.

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Investment bank and developer to create property platform together: report.
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PE action is in distressed Australian assets

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The foreign private-equity big game hunters of Australian assets are increasingly distressed-debt investors with a loan-to-own strategy, such as Oaktree Capital Management LLC, rather than better known rivals Blackstone Group LP or KKR & Co.

Blackstone and KKR have shifted their buyout attention north to Asia, particularly potential deals in Japan and South Korea, while continuing to build their China and India operations.

“There are not the big public-to-private deals for the large American private-equity firms in Australia these firms had hoped there would be,” says a senior investment banker. “The stock market is up and that means the premiums boards want from an acquirer make any transaction too expensive.”

The S&P/ASX 200 Index has gained 25 per cent since January 1, 2012. Buyouts of $750 million or upward get a lot of competition not only from overseas but from local private-equity firms such as Pacific Equity Partners, say bankers and private equity professionals.

Oaktree has been involved in the two most high profile takeovers of Australian assets in the last 18 months: the $3.4 billion takeover of Nine Entertainment Co with Apollo Global Management LLC and the $400 million acquisition of Billabong International Ltd with Centerbridge Partners LP.

In contrast, KKR has not done an Australian buyout deal since its 2006 acquisition of Brambles Industrial Services and Cleanaway. Blackstone's last Antipodean deal was in 2011 when it bought New Zealand’s Antares Restaurant Group, the Burger King franchisee of the country.

In 2014, the paucity of large Australian buyouts may continue. In the year to date the average size of an Australian merger or acquisition has been US$90 million, down from US$106 million in 2012, according to Bloomberg data.

Deal volume and number of M&A transactions have also fallen between 2012 and 2013. Bloomberg says there have been 1,144 M&A deals so far this year worth US$70.37 billion, compared with 1,385 transactions worth US$105.82 billion in 2012.

“The lack of M&A volume has meant there is a cautious attitude from foreign vendors (private equity) towards Australia,” says a co-founder of an Australian private-equity firm. “There is plenty of credit worldwide to do deals so we’re hopeful for a pick up in 2014.”

Most of the staff at Blackstone and KKR’s Australian offices are focused less on buyouts than raising money for their extensive array of investment funds as well as buying distressed assets, particularly real estate.

Blackstone has $2.5 billion worth of real-estate investments in Australia and has bought property-investment company Valad Property Group. KKR and Allegro Funds bought a portfolio of distressed loans from Lloyds Banking Group Plc last year.

“These firms are asset managers,” says the Australian private-equity firm co-founder. “Exactly how these firms approach Australia with people on the ground or flying them in is still a matter of debate.”

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While Oaktree and Apollo pursue Australia's distressed-debt turnarounds, Blackstone and KKR have shifted their buyout attention north to Asia, leaving their Australian offices to focus on investment funds and real estate opportunities.
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IBA creates $70 million indigenous REIT

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Indigenous Business Australia (IBA) has created a $70 million Indigenous Real Estate Investment Trust that it hopes will double in size in three years as Aboriginal and Torres Strait Island communities use some of their estimated $10 billion to $40 billion in funds to co-invest in the REIT.

The commercial units of land councils and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Island community organisations will be able to invest a minimum of $500,000 to take stakes in the REIT. The investment returns will be shared equally between the IBA and its indigenous shareholders. The IBA is waving performance fees in relation to the REIT.

The net annual return target for the REIT is 8 per cent and it will use no leverage when it buys property.

“We want to have a geographic spread of risk and assets that will provide good long-term returns,” Chris Fry, IBA’s chief executive, told DataRoom.

IBA has injected an initial set of assets into the REIT, including commercial buildings in regional centers in the Australian Capital Territory, the Northern Territory, Western Australia and Queensland.

Minter Ellison Lawyers’ Stuart Johnson was the sole legal counsel to the IBA in setting up the REIT. CBRE Australia is providing advice to the IBA on potential investments.

Fry says Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander communities have as much as $40 billion in funds, mostly invested in term deposits or in cash.

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Aboriginal and Torres Strait Island communities have as much as $40 billion to invest, says IBA’s chief executive.
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More than high dollar to blame for Holden exit: Stevens

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AAP, with a staff reporter

Reserve Bank governor Glenn Stevens has bought into the debate raging about Holden's decision to cease manufacturing in Australia, saying the car industry's challenges are not just about the exchange rate.

US car giant General Motors cited the relatively high value of the Australian dollar as one component of a perfect storm that had made its local operations unsustainable.

Mr Stevens said the exchange rate is not the only issue for local car makers.

"The Australian car industry has been in structural change for quite a long time, at many different exchange rates, including ones much lower than we presently see," he told The Australian Financial Review.

It was going to be "a tall ask" for any manufacturer to share a small portion of what was a pretty small market if it was not part of some bigger global chain.

With a falling terms of trade, Mr Stevens expects the Aussie's dollar's natural level to be lower than its overnight rate of US89.40 cents.

"I thought [US]85 would be closer to the mark than [US]95 ... but really, I don't think we can be that precise."

If things over the medium term evolve as the bank is assuming it would be surprising if "a nine at the front is the right number".

Mr Stevens, who has led the central bank as it has cut the cash rate to a record low of 2.50 per cent, says a fall in the local unit would be preferable to further interest rate reductions.

“To the extent that we get some more easing in financial conditions, at this point it’s probably more preferable for that [economic stimulus] to be via a lower currency at the margin than lower interest rates,” he told the AFR.

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RBA governor maintains currency too high, says US85c a more natural level.
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CBA speeds property fund exit

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The Commonwealth Bank of Australia's exit from its $20 billion property funds empire is picking up pace after it struck a management rights deal late on Friday with the leading suitor for the Commonwealth Property Office Fund.

The deal will see bank sell the office fund's management for $41 million to Dexus Property Group, which, with partner Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, last week sweetened its bid for the office fund for the second time to put it ahead of a rival play by GPT Group.

The bank's other listed trust, the CFS Retail Property Trust Group, also reported its property valuations on Friday, potentially clearing the way for that fund to raise equity to buy its management rights from the bank for about $550 million. The retail property trust's portfolio is valued at $8.7 billion and the new vehicle will also hold the management of the bank's wholesale property funds.

Dexus said it had entered into an exclusive, binding facilitation agreement with the bank, to help it take control of the Commonwealth Property Office Fund once it held a 50.1 per cent stake.

The target trust holds a $3.7 billion portfolio of office towers and there are few other takeover opportunities.

Dexus chief executive Darren Steinberg said the agreement enabled it to access the bank's "considerable knowledge" in any handover. He appears confident after the office and industrial property specialist and its Canadian partner put an additional $130 million of cash on the table last Wednesday.

But GPT was quick to note that the management rights agreement might result in even greater stamp duty imposts for both parties. It is preparing to lodge its own bidder's statement.

Although GPT has so far ruled out paying the bank for the trust's management rights -- a stance that has won support among trust investors -- it is expected to make some payments if it is the successful bidder. The Michael Cameron-led diversified group is viewed as having greater bidding capacity than rival Dexus.

One key issue for both bidders is the bank's rights as lessee in Commonwealth Property Office Fund properties where it may hold rights to buy the buildings.

These rights cover a key Sydney development, 5 Martin Place, a Melbourne tower, 385 Bourke Street, as well as bank operations in Homebush and Parramatta.

CBA may give Dexus the right to buy any of the buildings if the trust is instead bought by GPT.

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Departure from $20bn funds empire gathers pace with CPA rights deal.
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Non-banks lift lending: report

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Non-bank home loan groups are claiming market share from Australian banks as the mortgage sector continues to gather momentum, according to The Australian Financial Review.

The report points to figures showing non-banks increasing home loan lending at double the rate of local banks in October when the value of new loans touched a record high.

Banks saw a lift of 0.9 per cent in mortgages for October, as opposed to 2.3 per cent from non-bank lenders, which include building societies and credit unions.

Despite the gains, banks still accounted for 93 per cent of home loans in October, the AFR reported.

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Smaller lenders grew at twice the rate of banks in October.
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Sydney's inevitable house price decline

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Graph for Sydney's inevitable house price decline

The recent pick-up in Sydney house prices is a product of investor speculation, though investors continue to support activity in a number of other states. Investor activity is at an unprecedented level in Sydney. When this inevitably normalises, Sydney house prices will decline.

Housing market activity has picked up significantly since the Reserve Bank began its latest cutting cycle. Owner-occupiers are taking the opportunity to upgrade on their existing purchases, while investors believe there are opportunities to make a quick buck.

But for first home buyers, it has been an entirely different story: their activity has never been weaker.

The growing divide between investors and first home buyers should be of increasing concern for policymakers and, indeed, investors themselves. Eventually the market will run out of owner-occupiers looking to upgrade or downgrade, which will leave investors simply speculating among themselves.

Sydneysiders will find, as they did in 2004, that this process is unsustainable. Following that episode, real house prices meandered along largely unchanged for the best part of a decade, following an investor-fuelled boom that faltered at the end of 2003.

Even to this day (and despite the recent boom), Sydney's real house prices are effectively unchanged since December 2003. It is a sobering reminder that house prices do not always go up and that there can be prolonged periods where price growth is weak or negligible.

On Friday, the Australian Bureau of Statistics released investor data that emphasised the growing divide between investors and first home buyers.

Investor home approvals have increased in all states during 2013, but the rise is most notable in New South Wales. Investor approvals in the state are up by over 30 per cent annually and, as the graph below shows, they are significantly above normal levels.

By comparison, approvals in Queensland and South Australia have increased only modestly.


Graph for Sydney's inevitable house price decline

But that is only one part of the story. The investor-to-FHB ratio – which measures the ratio between the value of loan approvals for both investors and first home buyers – has increased to an unprecedented level in New South Wales.


Graph for Sydney's inevitable house price decline

More importantly, it is completely out of whack with the rest of the country. Investors have been active in the other states but to nowhere near the same extent. Investor growth in Queensland and South Australia has been fairly weak, surprisingly so given the level of interest rates offered to investors.

I should note the investors are not inherently bad. The market needs investors to support affordable rental opportunities and boost the housing stock. However, investors are also the most volatile category of housing loans: they tend to get a little ahead of themselves during the good times and, when the situation sours, they leave in droves.

In short, investors can create more volatility in house price fluctuations and that often isn’t a good thing. Given housing is over 60 per cent of household wealth, changes in house prices can have a significant effect on economic activity.

It is clear that investors are driving Sydney house prices, but the situation is less clear in the other states. Investors appear to be mainly supporting moderate growth in Melbourne and Perth and preventing prices from falling in Brisbane and Adelaide.

It certainly does not surprise me that the two mainland states with the slowest investor growth, Queensland and South Australia, have had only modest house price growth in 2013.

So what will happen now?

We are not often certain about anything in the housing market, but we can all agree that the recent rise in investor activity in New South Wales is not sustainable. Investor activity in Sydney will inevitably slow and, when it does, it will happen quickly.

As a result, Sydney house price growth will slow significantly and more than likely begin to decline once investor activity normalises. It wouldn’t surprise me if Sydney saw something similar to when the first home owner boost was removed in 2009 and house prices gradually declined over the following two years.

For the other states, it is less clear. Investors may begin to move their attention towards other states and that could support house price growth. However, I see a period of soft growth in these states, particularly given the weakness in first home buyer activity. Outside NSW, I expect house price growth to be at around the same pace as income growth over the next couple of years.

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A frenzy of investor activity in Sydney has seen prices buck the national trend of modest growth. But such growth without first home buyer activity is unsustainable, and will result in a slowdown.
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Graph for Sydney's inevitable house price decline
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REA Group CEO Ellis resigns

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By a staff reporter

Real estate classified service REA Group Ltd's chief executive officer Greg Ellis has resigned to pursue an opportunity outside the company.

In a statement to the Australian Securities Exchange, REA said Mr Ellis will take up an overseas appointment at a non-competitive organisation.

He will remain in his role as CEO of the group that owns realestate.com.au and realcommercial.com.au until a successor is appointed and REA says it will now start a search for a replacement.

REA chairman Hamish McLennan said Mr Ellis had led the development of a clear purpose and strategic vision for the group and the business was on track to deliver against this strategy in fiscal 2014.

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Real estate classified company boss to stay in role until successor appointed.
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Merrill mulls adding to real estate team

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Bank of America Merrill Lynch may beef up its real estate investment banking team in an effort to boost its resources.

The bank is working for GPT Group on its $3 billion takeover bid of Commonwealth Property Office Fund.

Sources close to the bank suggested the group was considering hiring people to join its real estate team, reporting to its head Adrian Sheldon, as well as bankers for other teams, with more merger and acquisition activity expected next year.

GPT has hired the bank as a joint adviser with Fort Street in an effort to beat Dexus Property Group and the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board to buy the Commonwealth Bank's office landlord.

It is understood that Sheldon has been appearing with the bank's Australian chief, Kevin Skelton, on matters relating to the proposal.

Meanwhile, GPT is in talks to hire one of the target's former senior executives, John Dillon, and has also hired Macquarie Group real estate veteran Callum Bramah.

GPT is expected to trump the Dexus camp with a higher offer in the CPA contest, after Dexus last week sweetened the deal.

However, unlike Dexus and its Canadian partners, GPT is offering no payment to Commonwealth Bank for the management rights of the office fund.

The Dexus consortium and the bank announced a deal had been reached on Friday night under which $41 million would be paid for the fund's management.

However, the conditions of the deal include a clause that suggests either party could modify the agreement. It suggests that should Dexus and CPPIB need to once again raise its offer for the fund, the deal to pay $41m to CBA could be taken off the table.

CPA shares closed at $1.28 yesterday, 1c higher than the Dexus offer, suggesting investors are betting GPT would make a higher offer for CPA.

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Bank of America Merrill Lynch may beef up its real estate investment banking team in an effort to boost its resources.
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GDI Property Group drops 11.5% on debut

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Australia’s largest real estate IPO of the year, the $567.6 million float of GDI Property Group, has fallen on its debut, bucking a broader market rise.  

GDI fell 11.5 per cent to 88.5 cents, against a benchmark index increase of 0.3 per cent. 

The disappointing debut comes despite strong demand for GDI’s equity raising, seen at the time as part of strong market appetite for new property trusts.

Lead manager Credit Suisse raised $310 million in new equity for the float last month and an additional $256.7 million was allocated to existing investors, along with management. About 80 per cent of existing unit holders in the GDI syndicates chose to stay in and their purchase of additional stock put the effective rollover rate at 85 to 90 per cent.

GDI executive chairman Tony Veale and managing director Steve Gillard took a combined 10.5 per cent of the $567.6 million float.

The GDI Property Group will control about $867 million in assets at listing, including directly owned assets of about $680 million. The trust will use the proceeds of the raising to bankroll two acquisitions, including an office tower on Queen Street in Brisbane, valued at $120 million. Other properties include 233 Castlereagh Street in Sydney, 197 St Georges Terrace and the Mill Green complex in Perth, and 25 Grenfell Street in Adelaide.

GDI lists on the same day as PACT group, which Credit Suisse is also running.

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Australia’s largest real-estate IPO of the year has bucked a broader market rise on its first day.
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List of IPO debut flops grows

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In a market awash with IPOS the list of debut flops is getting longer, with the latest newcomers Pact Group and GDI Property Group dropping more than 10 per cent on ASX listing today.  

The lacklustre debuts this month come after investors started to show signs of IPO fatigue, which could have been partly to blame for the last-minute shelving of high-profile ASX hopeful BIS Industries.

The past week has seen most IPOs underperform the market on debut, albeit amid a decline in the broader benchmark index since a raft of successful book builds last month. The S&P ASX-200 has lost about 190 points so far this month.

Pact closed down 12.6 per cent at $3.32 and real estate investment trust GDI Property Group shed 11.5 per cent to 85.5 cents, against a rise of 0.3 per cent in the overall market.

In defence of Pact’s poor debut, some industry players said investors were loath to commit ahead of Amcor trading ex-Orora tomorrow.

Brambles Ltd's demerged document management business, Recall, and pub real estate play, Hotel Property Investments, have also struggled to gain momentum since listing. 

IPOs launched earlier in December were faring better this week despite many failing to inspire on debut. Retailer Dick Smith and Nine Entertainment have held their own against the broader market, as have education and training company Vocation and transport and logistics group McAleese.

Debutantes that have managed to sustain price increases since listing include adult education business Veda, childcare roll-up Affinity Education Group, sports technology firm dorsaVi Ltd, and the Industria REIT.

A further $8 billion in IPOs are expected to come online in the first half of next year. Contenders that may hit the ASX boards before March include Pacific Equity Partners’ Spotless, which has annual revenue of $2.7 billion, and Healthscope Group Ltd as Carlyle Group and TPG consider a $4 billion IPO of the hospital provider.

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The past week has seen most IPOs underperform the market on debut since a raft of successful book builds last month.
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CBA nears $550m CFS deal

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The CFS Retail Property Trust Group is poised to unveil its long-awaited deal to spin off from the Commonwealth Bank of Australia and forge a path as the owner of $8.7 billion of Australia's shopping centres.

The play is expected to be announced today and will test the support of billionaire shareholder John Gandel, who co-owns Melbourne's $3.2 billion Chadstone Shopping Centre with the fund.

While last-minute haggling over the retail platform's price is expected among bankers from UBS, Goldman Sachs and Macquarie Capital, $550 million has been tipped, with any equity raising to pay for the rights likely to include the advisers.

UBS is advising the independent directors of CFS Retail, the Commonwealth Bank is advised by Goldman Sachs, and Macquarie Capital is assisting the Gandel Group, which was understood to have been made a formal offer by the bank this month.

The bank's resolve to offload the retail platform became apparent when the independent directors of CFS Retail, Nancy Milne, James Kropp and Richard Haddock, joined the board of the new Centre Retail Management, clearing the way for a deal.

CFS Retail fund manager Michael Gorman and the head of Colonial First State Global Asset Management's property unit, Angus McNaughton, are also tipped to join. Critically, Gandel is expected to have board representation, as he will have significant sway over the trust.

A kicker for the new trust's earnings could be its wholesale property funds business, which expand now uncertainty about the ownership has been resolved.

The bank appears determined to play a role in selecting a suitor for the sister office landlord, the Commonwealth Property Office Fund, as it last Friday struck a deal to sell that trust's management for $41 million to Dexus Property Group.

A twice sweetened bid from Dexus and partner Canada Pension Plan Investment Board is ahead of a rival play by GPT Group but that group is maintaining a tough stance in the face of threats that the bank may buy key properties out of the target fund. Most expect a carve-up of the $3.7 billion office towers portfolio.

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CFS Retail expected to announce details of separation from CBA today.
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CFS, CBA ink $460m deal

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By a staff reporter

CFS Retail Property Trust Group will pay $460 million to the Commonwealth Bank of Australia to acquire its integrated retail asset management business.

In a statement to the Australian Securities Exchange, CFS said the business provides property management, development management and leasing services for CFS-owned and co-owned properties, wholesale property funds and third party mandates.

CFS will also acquire its responsible entity, Commonwealth Managed Investments Ltd, from the bank.

CMIL said the deal will allow it to assume the management of CFS and a number of wholesale property funds and other direct property investment mandates.

A $280 million fully underwritten institutional placement will be launched today to partly fund the transaction, in combination with debt and a security purchase plan.

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Property trust group to buy bank's integrated retail asset management business.
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Vancouver's home truths for Australia's China connection

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Graph for Vancouver's home truths for Australia's China connection

Vancouver is about 14,000 kilometres from Beijing, separated by the vast emptiness of the Pacific Ocean. However, the health of Vancouver’s housing market is closely correlated with Chinese economic growth, according to Robin Wiebe, a research economist with the Conference Board of Canada.

At first glance, this seems a strange conclusion to draw. The vitality of the housing market is usually determined by local factors such as mortgage interest rates, changes in the employment rate and population growth.

However, Wiebe argues China’s influence rivals those three key domestic factors. “All aspects of the Vancouver housing market and economic growth in China move together and are statistically significant,” he told the Vancouver Sun.

He shows that Vancouver’s housing market was sluggish during the 1990s when the local economy was decent and demographics were favourable. The average resale price increased less than three per cent annually.

However, Vancouver’s housing price surged 24 per cent during the 2000s. Wiebe argues that these results closely mirror China’s economic performance in the last two decades. The 1990s started badly for China, with the economy only growing 3.8 per cent in 1990, following a disappointing 4.1 per cent in 1989.

China’s economy also ended on a relatively weak note in the 1990s, expanding at only about 7.7 per cent in 1998 and ‘99. However, China’s economy surged during the 2000s, expanding at double digits for most of the decade.

The graph below shows that Vancouver house prices closely track that of Chinese real GDP growth.


Graph for Vancouver's home truths for Australia's China connection

Most importantly, Wiebe shows that two local factors – local employment growth and five-year mortgage interest rates – correlate much less strongly than Chinese GDP growth does to the three important market yardsticks of existing home sales, existing home price growth and total housing starts.

Check out this graph which shows how five-year mortgage rates had less impact on Vancouver resale price growth than Chinese economic growth.


Graph for Vancouver's home truths for Australia's China connection

“This could mean that a substantial proportion of Vancouver real estate purchasers do not need local jobs to buy any home (new or existing) and that many do not need a mortgage to buy a new home,” Wiebe said.

The basic principle of statistics tells us that correlation is not the same as causation. Though Vancouver house prices correlate closely with China’s GDP growth, it does not mean China is driving the housing market in Canada.

Tsur Somerville, a professor at the University of British Columbia, says that there is no doubt that the Chinese economy and the rest of the world is linked. But he believes local factors such as interest rates have played a bigger role in Vancouver house prices.

However, what Wiebe has not mentioned explicitly in his analysis is the growing Chinese appetite for overseas real estate and a growing trend for the wealthy Chinese business class to set up new nests around the world.

Chinese investment in overseas real estate assets has surged 25 per cent in 2013, according to Jones Lang LaSalle. Vancouver, just like Melbourne or Sydney, is a favoured city for Chinese migrants and investors.  

Australia shares many similarities with Canada, which are both large sparsely populated commodity exporting countries. Wiebe’s advice that observers need to pay attention to China’s economic health when assessing the outlook for Vancouver’s housing market also rings true for Australian property analysts.

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Alongside interest rates, demographic change and the employment rate, China’s economic growth has a significant impact on Vancouver’s real estate market. Australian property watchers should take note.
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Graph for Vancouver's home truths for Australia's China connection
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CBA backs Dexus fund bid

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By a staff reporter

Commonwealth Bank of Australia intends to accept a Dexus Property Group-led consortium's takeover bid for its Commonwealth Property Office Fund, spurning a rival offer from GPT Group.

In a statement to the Australian Securities Exchange, the bank said it would agree to the offer from Dexus and the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board if its acceptance would take the consortium's relevant interests in the fund to at least 50.1 per cent.

The bank said it also required the consortium's offer to be otherwise unconditional.

Commonwealth Bank said it reserves its right not to accept the offer.

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Bank intends to accept Dexus offer for Commonwealth Property Office Fund.
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Westfield needs to lift WRT value

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The Commonwealth Bank of Australia's proposed spin-off of the CFS Retail Property Trust has won strong market support -- a contrast to the chilly market reception towards Westfield Group's plans to recast its local and international operations.

Controversy has centred around the pricing of the management rights of the Westfield Retail Trust, with the level of about $1.7 billion seen as too high. WRT chairman Dick Warburton has received a tough reception from institutional investors, with advisers Morgan Stanley and UBS being told that the deal may not win support.

Moelis analyst Simon Scott says the deal will take both Westfield and WRT in the right direction and the merger pricing is justifiable.

In a note that is gaining market traction he argues that simply recutting merger ratios is not the best way to deal with unhappiness among WRT investors.

Instead, Scott says the size of the overall Westfield Australasian pie should be lifted and a larger share of the rise should be given to WRT owners. One way of doing this would be for Westfield and WRT to turn on share buybacks, lifting the net asset value of the overall group.

More radically, a couple of half stakes in landmark assets like Westfield Bondi Junction or even Westfield Sydney could be sold off. Deals could be struck at healthy premiums to book values as foreign investors are chasing premium assets and the move would also generate fee income.

WRT could also buy the half of the listed Carindale Property Trust not owned by Westfield, a way of boosting its funds from operations.

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Analyst calls for buybacks as group's plans to split get soft reception.
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Property market steadies REA

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Bottom feeders will be disappointed if they were expecting the rout in REA Group shares to continue.

The company's stock steadied yesterday, closing up 32 cents at $36.32 after being smashed earlier this week following the shock departure of chief executive Greg Ellis.

REA Group chairman Hamish McLennan told investors yesterday that recovery in the residential property market had driven positive first-quarter revenue growth at the company.

The update on trading conditions was disclosed on an investor briefing conference call that was convened following Ellis's departure.

"We have already had some strong indicators of success in financial year '14 ," McLennan said.

He said "positive Q1 revenue growth" was being driven by the move from a subscription model to a listing-based model.

"In addition, the demand for our list depth products including 'highlight premier' and 'project profile' have continued our residential business success and have performed very strongly as a result of the improved market conditions," he said.

REA has enjoyed great success on the back of depth products, which offer estate agents the opportunity to pay more to enhance and highlight a single property listing. The products helped deliver a record full-year net profit this year for the operator of the realestate.com.au website.

"We're on track to achieve our strategy for the year and look forward to sharing more with you at the half-yearly result in early February," McLennan said.

Ellis was also on the call, but declined to reveal where he was headed amid speculation of a role in Europe. He will stay on at REA until a successor is appointed.

Ellis has emphatically rejected suggestions there was anything untoward in the circumstances surrounding his exit, and flatly denied rumours of a rift with board members including McLennan.

"The board is confident that REA Group will continue to go from strength to strength," McLennan reassured investors.

"Operationally, it's business as usual. The team will continue to focus on delivering an exceptional service to consumers, customers, and property owners."

REA is 62 per cent-owned by News Corporation, publisher of The Australian.

Quick Summary: 
Hot property market likely puts swift end to rout in REA Group shares.
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Mirvac offloads shopping centres for $100m

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By a staff reporter

Mirvac Group Ltd has sold two regional malls in New South Wales and Victoria for $100 million and acquired new commercial and residential assets in Victoria and Western Australia.

In a statement to the Australian Securities Exchange, the property group said it had completed the sale of the Gippsland Centre in Sale, Victoria for $55 million, and the Orange City Centre in NSW for $49.5 million.

Mirvac has also acquired a 113,000 square metre industrial site at Eastern Creek, NSW, for $55 million, with plans to develop it into industrial business park, and a 30-hectare, prime residential development site in Baldivis, south west of Perth, for $10.7 million.

The group said it expected the residential site to contribute earnings in fiscal 2016, subject to planning approvals.

Mirvac has already made $232.6 million in sales in the 2014 financial year to date as part its "non-core disposal program".

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Group sells regional malls, acquires $66 million in commercial, residential assets.
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Bringing homeowners the bacon

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Just when you think you’ve hit upon something new and exciting, along comes a savvy business that thought of it first. How annoying.

So it was when, after raising the issue of how to make better use of the capital locked up in home equity, Business Spectator got a call from Arthur Naoumidis, chief executive of Domacom – a small start-up that plans to float next year, and which is offering a new investment platform that could radically reshape the way Australians invest (Unleash the property wealth beast, December 23).

To recap on the basic problem raised in November, a mish-mash of tax and superannuation law legislated by Canberra encourages a huge misallocation of resources.

For instance, an individual who chooses to rent homes throughout their lives and puts all their savings into traditional super – like the majority of citizens in many developed countries – is penalised at retirement for being ‘too wealthy’. Meanwhile, an individual who puts all their spare money into buying the biggest house they can afford, and who therefore retires with less income, is not.

Importantly, most super funds hold productive assets, whereas holding a house – particularly an ‘empty nest’ – means the capital locked up doesn’t ‘produce’ anything much.

And yet, rightly, retirees often want to stay in the homes their families grew up in.

Various schemes exist to free up some of that capital – reverse mortgages and other equity release products – but in the past, particularly in countries such as the United Kingdom, many householders lost too much of the asset they wanted to leave to their children. Cowboy operators gave equity release products a bad name.

But what if you could ‘float’ your house in the way a company is sold, in a unitised way, to investors? If you didn’t want to move out, you’d only have to retain a 51 per cent stake.

This, in part, is what Domacom’s new investment platform does.

Naoumidis and a handful of colleagues have spent the past couple of years developing a trading system that allows a home to be bought and sold in a unitised way. It works very much the way a ‘bookbuild’ works when a company needs investors to get an IPO off the ground.

Most importantly, Domacom has spent 13 months working with the Australian Securities and Investments Commission so that their product is registered, regulated and attracts the necessary ASIC ‘reliefs’ to make it legal.

A mum-and-dad investor wishing to use it must go through a financial planner or accountant – that is, it can’t be mis-used by investors who don’t know what they’re doing.

To see how it works, imagine an investor thinks there are three big growth suburbs in Australia, but they are in different cities. If they were rich, they might buy a house in each – but most investors don’t have that kind of money.

Instead, the investor will build a book on each house through the Domacom platform. For instance, they will see a house in Footscray, Melbourne, offered for sale at $500,000. They might think it’s really worth $600,000, and expect the auction to rise to around this level when it is sold. So they will list the property on the Domacom system, saying they wish to buy, say $100,000 of a $600,000 house.

Other investors can then make offers. The second, for instance, might say they want a $200,000 stake, but think it’s only worth $550,000.

As with any bookbuild, a fairly simple algorithm matches the best bids and optimises the amount to bid at the auction. When various levels of capital are committed, Domacom pays for building inspections, pest inspections and the like – as you would to buy any property.

If it all checks out, a buyer’s advocate bids up to the agreed price on the day. If successful, perhaps a dozen investors will now own the home, and an agent will manage and rent out the property.

That’s all good news for investors. They don’t have to pick any single location to invest in – using unitised properties, they can spread their risk across several cities.

But it’s also good news for Granny Smith, who owns a million dollar house but has too little retirement income. She can now build a book on her own property, but retain the controlling stake. She then rents the other half-stake from the anonymous investors, and when she dies, her descendants will inherit a unitised stake that can be sold down to realise the cash.

In the meantime, Granny Smith drives an Aston Martin. 

Okay, it’s not a highly productive asset – but it’s Granny’s money, right?

The political challenge is to begin to address the last-century logic that we must all own our own homes, and that the primary residence is not counted as an asset for super/pension purposes.

The tax/super changes required to effect that would require real political guts, but freeing up so much inaccessible capital is, in the long run, an opportunity Australia can't afford to ignore.

In the next in this series, I will look at other uses for this revolutionary trading platform.

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A little-known start-up that allows investors to acquire stakes in property could not only revolutionise the way Australians invest but free up much-needed wealth for homeowners and their families.
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CPA rejects GPT takeover bid

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By a staff reporter

Commonwealth Property Office Fund Ltd (CPA) has rejected a takeover bid from GPT Group Ltd in favour of a rival bid from Dexus Property Group Ltd and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board.

In its Target's Statement to the Australian Securities Exchange, Commonwealth Managed Investments Ltd's (CMIL's) independent directors, acting on behalf of CPA, unanimously recommended its shareholders reject the offer.

GPT Group made an off-market offer of 0.141 GPT shares for all CPA shares, and 75.3525 cents – reduced by the amount of any distribution paid on a CPA unit – on November 19.

The rival, sweetened bid from Dexus-CPPIB is valued at $1.27 per CPA unit, including a cash payment of 77.45 cents and 0.4516 Dexus stapled securities.

CMIL chairman Richard Haddock said the group's independent directors would issue another Target's Statement recommending shareholders accept the Dexus offer, in the absence of a superior proposal, "in due course".

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Property group unanimously recommends shareholders reject offer.
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